2026 - Round 29 (Week 4 of the Finals): Overs/Unders
/The bookmakers are expecting a slightly lower score in the Grand Final than is MoSHBODS, although that might be partly attributable to the forecast rain.
Read More2026 - Round 29 (Finals Week 5) : Three Lions - Is It Coming Home?
/It’s 1st plays 3rd in the Grand Final for the seventh time since 2000, with teams from 1st currently enjoying a 4-2 lead.
That said, against all opponents in that timeframe, teams from 3rd have registered 8 wins and 5 losses compared to teams from 1st’s record of 9 wins and 9 losses.
Read More2026 - Team Ratings After Round 28 (Week 5 of the Finals)
/MoSHBODS changed the ranking of all four Preliminary Finalists this week, lifting Fremantle into 1st and Brisbane Lions into 4th, and dropping Sydney into 3rd and Hawthorn into 5th.
MARS swapped only Brisbane Lions and Sydney, elevating the former into 2nd and dropping the latter into 4th.
That left MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Fremantle, Geelong, and Sydney, and MARS with Geelong, Brisbane Lions, and Hawthorn.
Read More2026 - Round 28 Results - Glass Half Full?
/Both favourites won again this week, but both found their own unique ways to make it difficult. Such was the level of contrarian head-to-head tipping that only Bookie Knows Best and Consult the Ladder tipped both results, with five other Tipsters snagging just one, and MARS_Marg and Home Sweet Home snagging none.
That all left Bookie Knows Best is the outright lead on 163.5 from 217 (75%), one tip ahead of ENS_Linear and six ahead of RSMP_Weighted.
The all-Tipster average score for the round was 1 from 2, taking the season-long figure to 153.2 from 217 (71%).
Read More2026 - Round 28 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE THURSDAY 7PM
MoSHBODS has preliminary views about both Preliminary Finals: Swans by 11 points and Lions by 1 point.
2026 - Round 28 (Week 3 of the Finals): Overs/Unders
/The bookmakers are, again, expecting considerably lower scores in the two finals this week than is MoSHBODS.
Read More2026 - Round 28 (Finals Week 4) : Too Good?
/Just two games again this week, both with home team underdogs, by about two goals in the case of the Swans where 2nd from the home-and-away ladder meets 1st, and about two points in the case of Hawthorn where 4th from the home-and-away ladder meets 3rd.
Read More2026 - Team Ratings After Round 27 (Week 3 of the Finals)
/MoSHBODS changed the ranking of only two teams this week, dropping Adelaide into 8th below Carlton.
MARS reranked no teams at all and, very surprisingly, increased the Cats’ rating and decreased the Dockers’ despite the Cats’ 14-point loss. MARS sometimes moves in mysterious ways.
That left MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Sydney, Geelong, and Fremantle, and MARS with Geelong, Sydney, and Hawthorn.
Read More2026 - Round 27 Results - Welcome Reset
/Both favourites won this week and there were no contrarian Head-to-Head Tipsters, so Bookie Knows Best and ENS_Linear still lead RSMP_Simple by five tips and are now uncatchable.
Those leaders are now on 161.5 from 215 (75%) and the all-Tipster average score for the round was 2 from 2, taking the season-long figure to 152.2 from 215 (71%).
Read More2026 - Round 27 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE THURSDAY 7PM
MoSHPlay has preliminary views about the two Semi Finals
2026 - Round 27 (Week 3 of the Finals): Overs/Unders
/The bookmakers are, again, expecting considerably lower scores in the two finals this week than is MoSHBODS.
Read More2026 - Round 27 (Finals Week 3) : Semi Interesting
/This week we have just two games, both with home team favourites, one expected to be won by about 10 points, and the other by about 3 goals.
Read More2026 - Team Ratings After Round 26 (Week 2 of the Finals)
/MoSHBODS changed the ranking of 10 teams this week, including moving four teams by two places: Geelong up 2 into 2nd, Fremantle down 2 into 3rd, Brisbane Lions down 2 into 5th, and Carlton down 2 into 8th. It also moved Sydney up a spot into 1st.
MARS reranked six teams, including moving Geelong from 3rd to 1st, Hawthorn from 5th to 3rd, and Brisbane Lions from 1st to 4th.
That left MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Sydney, Geelong, and Fremantle, and MARS with Geelong, Sydney, and Hawthorn.
Read More2026 - Round 26 Results - Reduced to a Trickle
/Two favourites won and two lost ithis week, but none of the Head-to-Head Tipsters predicted all four of those outcomes. Best were MARS_Marg, the MoS twins, Consult the Ladder, and the Home Sweet Home who all scored three.
That had no effect on the top of the Leaderboard where Bookie Knows Best and ENS_Linear still lead RSMP_Simple by five tips, which means that, at worst, they can only now be equalled.
The leaders are now on 159.5 from 213 (75%) and the all-Tipster average score for the round was 2.6 from 4, taking the season-long figure to 150.2 from 213 (71%).
Read More2026 - Round 26 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE THURSDAY 7PM
MoSHPlay’s has ended at Dockers by 9 points, and now has preliminary views about the remainder of the round.
UPDATE WEDNESDAY 7PM
MoSHPlay’s preliminary view is Dockers by 9 points.
2026 - Round 26 (Week 2 of the Finals): Overs/Unders
/The bookmakers are expecting considerably lower scores in the four finals this week than is MoSHBODS, especially in the Swans v Lions game where the difference is almost 8 goals..
Read More2026 - Round 26 (Finals Week 2) : The Official Eight
/This week we have three games with home team favourites, but expected to be won by less than three goals, and a single game with an away team favourite expected to be won by over four goals.
When I say expected, I mean expected by the bookmakers, but the MoS and MARS family have other ideas, bereft as they are of player knowledge. It’s probably fair that the Lions should start favourites against the Swans, but four goals puts a huge impost on the missing players and I’m very much minded of the recent work I’ve been doing with Claude that suggests the importance of players over-and-above team is often overstated.
It will be fascinating to find out how true that is this week.
Read More2026 - Team Ratings After Round 25 (Week 1 of the Finals)
/MoSHBODS changed the ranking of just two teams this week, elevating Carlton into 6th at the expense of Melbourne.
MARS reranked four teams flipping Carlton into 6th to drop Adelaide to 7th, and dropping Collingwood into 11th behind GWS.
Thst left MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Fremantle, Sydney, and Brisbane Lions, and MARS with Brisbane Lions, Sydney, and Geelong.
Read More2026 - Round 25 Results - The Giving Continues
/One favourite won and one lost in the inaugural Wildcard Round, which saw RSMP_Simple as the only Head-to-Head Tipster bagging two from two. That elevated it into fifth place, but left Bookie Knows Best and ENS_Linear still five tips in the lead atop the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard, now on 157.5 from 209 (75%).
The all-Tipster average score came in at 0.8 from 2, taking the season-long figure to 147.6 from 209 (71%).
Read More2026 - Round 25 : MoSHPlay
/UPDATE THURSDAY 7:15PM
MoSHPlay has preliminary views on both Wildcard Finals.
