2025 - Round 9 Results - Close
/Six of the early-week favourites got up this week, and another one drew, but what set this round apart was the narrowness of many of the victory margins. Along with the draw, we saw wins by 2, 4, 5, 8, 10, 14, and 15 points leaving only the Hawks’ 35-point win as the outlier.
Amongst the Head-to-Head Predictors, only ENS_Linear and Consult The Ladder joined Bookie Knows Best in recording a score of six-and-a-half, which left MoSHPlay, who scored one fewer, now three tips clear of the field and on 61.5 from 80 (77%).
The all-Tipster score came in at 5.6 from 9, which took the season-long all-Tipster performance to 54.6 from 80 (68%).
Margin prediction was, on average, over 17 points per game easier this week, but easiest once again for ENS_Linear, whose mean average error (MAE) of 12.1 points per game was almost half a point per game better than next best, Bookie_LPSO’s 12.5 points per game. That allowed ENS_Linear to close the gap to MoSHPlay_Marg to only 15.5 points. MoSSBODS_Marg was again this week’s worst at 16.4 points per game - exactly one half of its average last week - and it remains in last place.
The all-Predictor average was a ludicrous 13.3 points per game, which left the season-long average at 26.9 points per game.
The round-by-round history of Margin Predictor rankings appears below.
Log probability scores were all narrowly positive again this week, with the exception of MoSSBODS_Prob. Best was MoSHPlay_Prob who, as a consequence, took top billing from MoSSBODS_Prob. MoSHBODS_Prob remains in third place.
WAGERING
Only the Overs/Unders Fund turned a profit this week, which was never going to be enough to offset the losses by the two other Funds.
Overall, the Combined Portfolio finished down by just under 3c for the week, leaving it up by just over 22c on the season, that from a 25% ROI on a 0.9 turn.
