2019 - Round 27 : Overs/Unders

There’s virtually nothing separating the forecasts of the MoS twins and the two bookmakers this week.

All four have the final margin at about 3 goals in favour of the Tigers, all four expect the total score to be about 152 to 154 points, and all four have the Tigers scoring between 84 and 86 of those points.


The mean absolute error (MAE) honours for the third week of the finals all belonged to the TAB as it recorded the lowest MAE on all four metrics.

That left the TAB 1st overall for the season on Total Score and Game Margin MAEs, and Easybet 1st on Home Team and on Away Team Score MAEs.

MoSHBODS now trails the TAB on Game Margin MAE by 72 points and on Total Score MAE by 69 points, and trails Easybet on Home Score MAE by 20 points. MoSSBODS trails Easybet on Away Score MAE by 69 points.


With MoSSBODS’ opinion so similar to the bookmakers’, there’s no wager this week.

Last week there no wagers with the TAB, either. That left MoSSBODS’ record against the TAB at 17 and 18, and that against Easybet at 23 and 20, keeping the overall win rate at 51% for the season, which is where it will now finish.

Across the entirety of the round, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS landed on the right side of the TAB and of Easybet in 1 of the 2 games. That took MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS to 52% records for the season against the TAB and against Easybet.