2019 - Round 12 Results - MoSHPlay Again

MoSHPlay tipped four winners this week, one more than every other Head-to-Head Tipster except MoSHBODS_Marg, C_Marg, and Home Sweet Home, to leave it now two tips clear at the head of the Leaderboard and on 70 from 105 (67%).

MoSHPlay also recorded the round’s lowest mean absolute error (MAE) for the second week running, this time coming in at 26.1 points per game, a little over 2 points per game better than C_Marg but about 7 points per game better than most other Predictors. That was enough to catapult it into 4th place on the Leaderboard and to move it within 47 points of the outright lead. The remaining Predictors maintained the order they had pre-round.

The all-Predictor average MAE for the round was 32.4 points per game, which took the all-Predictor season average to 26.9 points per game.

Most of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors registered positive log probability scores this week, albeit low ones in many cases, Best again and decidedly non-zero was MoSHPlay_Prob who moved into 1st place as a result, ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob and MoSSBODS_Prob.


It all came down to Sydney to prevent Investors incurring losses for a third straight week, with the Swans’ victory eventually seeing the Combined Portfolio making a tiny profit.

In total, the gain for Round 12 was 0.1c, which took the Combined Portfolio’s price to $1.163, this result coming now from a 16.8% ROI on a 0.97 turn.