It's all about Saturday for Investors this week as we've no wagers on the Friday night game nor any on Sunday's fare, which leaves us beholden to the Hawks, Freo and the Dogs.
When first I saw my script reporting that Port had not played at the MCG in the past 12 months I thought it must be an error, but it turns out that the Power's most-recent visit to the G - as players at least - was in the equivalent game played in June of last year when they went down to the Hawks 74-63. While we're talking Venue Experience, it's also interesting to note that the Dees have played at Docklands, their home ground for this round, only 3 times in the past 12 months, once fewer than their opponents, the Eagles, who've played there on 4 occasions.
Back to the wagering then. Should all three of the relevant contests go as we'd like this week, Investor Portfolios will rise by just under 5c; should the, instead, do the opposite, Portfolios will fall by just over 5%. Even if the Hawks fail to cover the spread, and Freo go down to the Blues, a Dogs win - or even a loss by 3 points or less - will be enough to secure a profit for the week and nudge Portfolios into profit for the season.
Favourites are the majority selection of the Head-to-Head Tipsters in every game of the game, though they're the unanimous choice only in the Hawks v Port matchup. In three other of the contests it's only Home Sweet Home that stands between the group and unanimity. In another, Home Sweet Home and Silhouette are to blame, and in the last it's Silhouette and Short Term Memory I.
Our Margin Predictors are completely united behind the favourite for each game this week bar the Dogs v Dons game where two of them, Bookie_9 and Combo_NN_1, have sided with the underdogs. Agreement even extends to the likely margins of victory, evidenced by the single digit standard deviation across the predicted margins for every game.
Bookie_9, for one of the rare occasions this season is Away team biased this week, as is Combo_7 (especially), Combo_NN_1 and Combo_NN_2. Conversely, ProPred_3, ProPred_7 and WinPred_7 are all Home team biased to a far greater extent than is normal.
The Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, as the Head-to-Head Tipsters and Margin Predictors, are in agreement about the likely victors in each game this week. They also broadly agree about each favourite's respective probability of victory.
Meantime the Line Fund algorithm has been prevented from wagering on the three teams it thinks are most likely to emerge victorious on line betting - West Coast, Sydney and Geelong - since all three are Away teams.