AFLW 2026 - Round 4

WoSHBODS is forecasting seven home team wins, two of which are bookmaker underdogs, and two away wins this week.

The distribution of WoSHBODS expected margins is as follows:

• Under 2 goals: 3 games

• From 2 to under 4 goals: 2 game

• Over 4 goals: 4 games

The average expected absolute margin is 23.8 points per game according to WoSHBODS, and 23.2 points per game according to the bookmakers.

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WAGERS

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The table at right documents the usual differences between what I’ve eventually secured versus what I wanted.

Overall, Investors have a head-to-head interest in seven games, and a line market interest in seven, with the head-to-head bets on two favourites and five underdogs, and the line bets on four favourites and three underdogs.

The head-to-head bets total just over 12% of the original Head-to-Head Fund, and the line bets just over 15% of the Line Fund.

In total, then, about 13% of the entire Combined Portfolio is at risk.

READY RECKONER

This week’s Ready Reckoner is another masterpiece.

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