2017 - Team Ratings After Round 23
/MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS have identical Top 3s of Adelaide, Sydney then Richmond after the weekend's results, though they differ about the ordering, if not the composition of positions 4th to 6th.
Read More2017 - Round 23 Results - Really Simple Prove Remarkably Effective
/The competition ladder and the TAB Bookmaker were relatively poor indicators of the winning teams and their margins this weekend.
Read More2017 - Round 23 : Overs/Unders Update
/This week, five teams are expected to score 100 points or more by at least one forecaster, the Brisbane Lions, Sydney, Port Adelaide and Essendon expected to do so by all four. MoSSBODS alone adds the Kangaroos to that list.
Read More2017 - Round 23 : Here Already?
/It's genuinely hard for me to believe that we're at the end of the home-and-away season already with the equivalent of only two regular rounds worth of games to be played.
Read More2017 - Team Ratings After Round 22
/Sydney's victory over Adelaide, coming as it did on the back of substantially fewer scoring shots, failed to impress MoSSBODS or MoSHBODS, both of which reacted by transferring Rating Points from the Swans to the Crows. Regardless of that, these two teams remain comfortably ahead of the remainder on both Systems.
Read More2017 - Round 22 Results - A Good Weekend for the MoS Twins
/Seven favourites or equal-favourites won this week, which made for good tipping amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, the only one bagging fewer than six being Home Sweet Home, and the all-Tipster average finishing at 6.2.
The two RSMP Tipsters bagged seven, which was enough to drag them into a share of the lead now with MoSSBODS_Marg on 121.5 from 189 (64%).
Read More2017 - Round 22 : Overs/Unders Update
/In yet another round where the four forecasters are predicting a sub-180 average Total, only five teams are expected to score 100 points by at least one of them.
Read More2017 - Round 22 : Guess Who's Trying?
/Regular readers will know that many of the MoS forecasters use no player or bookmaker price information, which leaves them potentially exposed in weeks where teams' lists are materially different from their regular list or where motivation levels might not be normal levels
Read More2017 - Team Ratings After Round 21
/Adelaide and Sydney continue to enjoy a healthy rating lead over all of their rivals on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, though GWS are making most progress in bridging or, at least, steadying the gap.
Read More2017 - Round 21 Results - ENS_Linear Tips the Card
/For the first time this season, one of the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters, ENS_Linear, has picked the right team in every contest.
Read More2017 - Round 21 : Overs/Unders Update
/Six teams are considered likely to score 100 points or more this weekend according to at least one of the four forecasters.
Read More2017 - Round 21 : The Keys to the Finals
/Expected victory margins are a little higher this week, though still at historically low levels. You really do have to keep reminding yourself just how extraordinarily even this season has been. (I should write an article about that ...)
Read More2017 - Team Ratings After Round 20
/Adelaide and Sydney put some space between themselves and the other 16 teams over the weekend after convincing wins over other top 6 ranked teams. They are now ranked 1st and 2nd, in that order, on MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS.
Read More2017 - Round 20 Results - Eight Favourites
/All but one of the mid-week favourites won this weekend, which made for high scores amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, the all-Tipster average finishing at 7.1 from 9.
Read More2017 - Round 20 : Overs/Unders Update
/This week, the TAB over/under markets went up over about a 45 minute period, which makes last week's delays all the more strange.
What we have is consensus across all four forecasters that the Western Bulldogs will score over 100 points and be the round's high-scorer this week, and near-consensus - with MoSHBODS the lone dissenter - that Collingwood will be the only other team to register three figures.
Read More2017 - Round 20 : Regression to the (New) Mean
/This week it's a return to a menu full of games expected to be decided by three goals or less, with only three games not fitting that description according to the bookmakers.
Read More2017 - Team Ratings After Round 19
/Sydney, by virtue of sinking more slowly than their nearest rivals, have retained top spot on MoSSBODS' Ratings this week, whilst Adelaide have employed the same tactic to snatch 2nd from Port Adelaide.
Read More2017 - Round 19 Results - Still Close
/Five favourites won this week and one drew (after spotting their opponents a 50 point lead - welcome to the 2017 AFL season). With relatively low levels of disagreement amongst the Head-to-Head Predictors, that made for a narrow range of scores (5.5 to 6.5 from 9), which left MoSSBODS_Marg two tips clear at the top of the Leaderboard and now on 102 from 162 (63%).
Read More2017 - Round 19 : Overs/Unders Update II
/The final overs/unders market - for the Gold Coast v Richmond game - was posted on the TAB late this afternoon and wound up being only a single point different from Centrebet's.
So, as we anticipated, no bet in that game.
For completeness' sake, here are the final comparative tables.
For commentary, see yesterday's post (and ignore the snark at the top).
2017 - Round 19 : Overs/Unders Update I
/For reasons that are apparent only to the TAB Bookmakers (and, I'll be honest, I'm guessing probably not even to the professional market-framers amongst them) we're still waiting for an Overs/Unders market to be made available for the Suns v Tigers game this week. There's no apparent threat of rain, there are markets in many of the other major bookmakers, and yet they're coy about their reasons for failing to frame a market.
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