2021 - Team Ratings After Round 12

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Only three teams changed order on MoSSBODS this week - West Coast up 2 into 12th, St Kilda up 1 into 14th, and Collingwood down 3 into 15th - while none at all moved on MoSHBODS.

That left the two Systems still with identical Top 8s and with the Dogs heading the Dees at the top, albeit now by reduced margins. The Dogs are now rated by MoSSBODS as about a 2 Scoring Shot better team than the Dees on a neutral venue, and by MoSHBODS as about a 6 point better team.

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2021 - Round 12 Results - Never Much Liked the Bye Rounds

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Quite variable results for the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, with Home Sweet Home bagging just two from six, and the RSMP twins and Consult The Ladder bagging five from six. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard, however, with MoSSBODS_Marg still in 1st and now on 76 from 105 (72%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg on 75 (71%), and MoSHPlay_Marg, now joined by RSMP_Weighted on 74 (70.5%).

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2021 - Round 12 : No Scrums But Agile

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Regular readers will know that I usually lock in the bookmaker’s forecasts fairly early in the week, but there was so much uncertainty about the venues for Round 12 that I’ve been forced to lock them in progressively as venues (and, in one case, State and, in another, which is the home team) have been confirmed.

If COVID has taught me nothing else, it’s been the need to remain flexible to changing model inputs.

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2021 - Team Ratings After Round 11

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Melbourne closed the gap to the Dogs on both Systems in Round 11, and the Lions also made inroads, but we finished the round with the same Top 6 on MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS as we had at the end of Round 10.

Further down, Essendon climbed on both Systems to fill the 7th spots, rising from 11th at the start of the round on MoSSBODS, and 9th on MoSHBODS.

Other multiple spot movers on MoSSBODS were GWS (down 3), West Coast (down 4), and Collingwood (up 2). On MoSHBODS we also had GWS and West Coast (both down 2).

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2021 - Team Ratings After Round 10

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The Dogs opened up a gap over Melbourne at the top of both Systems this week, which finished with the two Raters having an identical Top 8 after the Lions and Cats traded 3rd and 4th, and the Giants and Blues traded 7th and 8th.

The big climbers on MoSSBODS were Fremantle (up 3), and Essendon and Gold Coast (up 2), while the biggest fall was registered by St Kilda (down 6). On MoSHBODS, the only teams moving multiple spots were Essendon (up 2), Sydney (down 2), and St Kilda (down 3).

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2021 - Round 10 Results - Even More Promising

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Round 10 continued the upward trend for the Head-to-Head Tipsters, with the average score coming in at 7.3 from 9 this week. Best were the MoS trio’s, Bookie Knows Best’s, ENS_Linear’s and Home Sweet Home’s 8 from 9, while all the remaining Tipsters scored 6 from 9. MoSSBODS_Marg’s 8 from 9 was enough for it to retain sole leadership, now on 65 from 90 (72%), ahead of the two other MoS Tipsters who are both on 64 from 90 (71%).

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2021 - Round 9 Results - Promising

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Round 9 was even better than Round 8 for the Head-to-Head Tipster, with the average score coming in at 7.1 from 9. Best were the MoS trio’s 8 from 9, and worst was Home Sweet Home’s 5 from 9. MoSSBODS_Marg’s 8 from 9 was enough to propel it back into sole leadership, now on 57 from 81 (70%), ahead of the two other MoS Tipsters and RSMP_Weighted who are all on 56 from 81 (69%).

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2021 - Round 9 : MoSHPlay Update

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UPDATE SATURDAY 7:15 PM

There’s nothing especially startling about MoSHPlay’s current views on the Sunday games.



UPDATE FRIDAY 7:30 PM

MoSHPlay now has the Dogs by 0.05 points …

UPDATE FRIDAY 7:15 PM

With final teams announced, it’s the Cats by 22 now, according to MoSHPlay

UPDATE THURSDAY 7:45 PM

It’s the Cats by 23 in the Friday game, according to MoSHPlay