Only three teams lost this weekend who were favourites with the TAB at the start of the week. Two of those losses were by teams Investors had no interest in, there being no head-to-head or line action in their games, and the third, Fremantle's, was an unwelcome one, since the Head-to-Head Fund had opted for the home team favourite and the Line Fund had taken the Dockers giving 2.5 points start.
Read MoreIn providing ChiPS with the results of last weekend's games, I neglected to include the score in the final game of the round.
As, a consequence, ChiPS' predictions for the two games involving the Eagles and the Saints have been changed as follows:
ChiPS also now rates West Coast 2nd above GWS and Sydney. St Kilda fall from 12th to 14th.
There are no other changes.
It's a bundle of five Overs/Unders wagers this week, four on the Under and one on the Over, which makes the full weekend's festivities look like the following.
Read MoreAgain this week Investors have four head-to-head and four line wagers, two on favourites and two on underdogs.
Read MoreThis week, only two teams moved by more than a single spot on both MARS and ChiPS Team Ratings, Melbourne falling two places on both Systems, and Collingwood rising two places on MARS and three places on ChiPS.
Read MoreNot a lot to get enthused about or overly worried about in the Round 8 results, but ultimately, for me, a slight feeling of disappointment with how it all went.
Read MoreInvestors have four bets from the Overs/Unders Fund this week, all of them Unders bets, as MoSSBODS finds itself generally estimating lower team and aggregate scores than does the TAB bookmaker.
Read MoreIt's another measured week of wagering in Round 8, four head-to-head wagers paired with four line wagers on the same teams (the overs/unders markets still yet to be posted).
Read MoreWell things did settle down a little this week across MoS' three Team Rating Systems, with slightly fewer and dramatically less substantial re-rankings taking place.
Read MoreOnce the Tigers lost on Friday night, and by just enough to bury our line bet along with our head-to-head and overs/unders wagers, it was always going to be difficult to finish the weekend in the black.
Read MoreInvestors have just four Overs/Unders wagers this week to fret about, three of them Unders wagers with thresholds ranging from 176.5 to 188.5 points, and the fourth an Overs wager with a 175.5 points threshold.
Read MoreAs alluded to in this week's blog title, most previous years would have seen MoS Funds sitting out the early parts of the season waiting for their respective Fund algorithms to calibrate themselves to the new reality.
Read MoreSome bigger-than-expected wins have again this week been converted into multi-spot ranking changes by MoS' three Rating Systems.
Read MoreA small profit this week, all of it thanks to the Line Fund, whose 3 from 4 performance added another 5c to that Fund's value. The Overs/Unders Fund fared worst, dropping a little over 2c on a 2 from 5 performance, while the Head-to-Head Fund shed about 1c after just 1 successful wager from 3 attempts.
Read MoreThis feels like an important week for the MoS Funds, even if it is still very early in the season. With, in footballing terms, a 4 and 1 start for Overall Portfolio profitability, a move to 5 and 1 would provide more evidence that the various algorithms are spotting value, while a slide to 4 and 2 would raise a small query about the relative contributions of luck and talent to those initial successes.
Read MoreA number of victory margins were again this week quite divergent from what the three Team Rating Systems expected, whether those victories were measured in points, which is ChiPS' and MARS' key input, or in Scoring Shots, which is MoSSBODS' sole focus.
Read MoreAt some point, the freakishly good start to the season's wagering had to end, and if this is as bad as it gets I think I'll be okay with that. (And, let's be honest, who says I get to choose?)
Read MoreAgain it's the Overs/Unders Fund that's most active this week, but I've no issue with that given its five from seven performance last weekend. For their parts, the Head-to-Head and Line Funds have chosen to battle on only three fronts and, in the Line Fund's case, with relatively small weaponry.
Read MoreThough it's hard to argue with the efficacy - so far - of the forecasting systems built using the ChiPS and MoSSBODS Team Ratings, I'm still getting used to how readily the two Systems are willing to adjust their opinions about a team on the basis of a single week's results.
Read MoreAfter an absurdly good start to Round 4 across Friday and Saturday, with a Head-to-Head bet on the Dons the only loser amongst four Head-to-Head, three Line and five Overs/Unders wagers, it seemed Investors' fortunes may have finally altered on Sunday when the first two Overs/Unders wagers ended up as losers. But then, in the last game of the round, the Roos rallied in the final term to land both the Head-to-Head and Line wagers on them, meaning that Sunday joined the lengthy list of profitable wagering days from this season.
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