AFLW 2026 - Round 6

WoSHBODS is forecasting six home team wins and three away wins this week, with four of those forecast home wins actually an underdog with the bookmakers. Three of those four, however, are only expected to win by about a goal or less according to the bookmakers.

The distribution of WoSHBODS expected margins is as follows:

• Under 2 goals: 6 games

• From 2 to under 4 goals: 2 games

• Over 4 goals: 1 game

The average expected absolute margin is 10.2 points per game according to WoSHBODS, and 12.7 points per game according to the bookmakers.

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WAGERS

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The table at right documents the usual differences between what I’ve eventually secured versus what I wanted when I first saw the markets

Overall, Investors have a head-to-head interest in eight games, and a line market interest in all nine, with the head-to-head bets on two favourite and six underdogs, and the line bets on two favourites and seven underdogs.

The head-to-head bets total just over 13% of the original Head-to-Head Fund, and the line bets 14.5% of the Line Fund.

In total, then, just under 13% of the entire Combined Portfolio is at risk.

READY RECKONER

This week’s Ready Reckoner is another Tolstoyesque read.

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