2022 - Round 7 : The Lull

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The TAB Bookmaker has another broad range of expected margins this week, with a low of 2.5 points and a high of 29.5 points.

All but two of the contests have expected margins under three goals, which has resulted in an all-game average of 14.6 points per game, the lowest this season since Round 3, and the third-lowest for a Round 7 in the history that I have.

Only two games are expected to be won by more than 17 points: Melbourne over Hawthorn, and Carlton over North Melbourne.

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2022 - Round 6 : MoSHPlay Update

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UPDATE 2:45PM MONDAY

Pies by 10 points, according to MoSHPlay.

UPDATE 3:30PM SUNDAY

MoSHPlay has it as Brisbane Lions by 17 points.


UPDATE 4PM SATURDAY

Port by 35 points, according to MoSHPlay.

UPDATE 1:30PM SATURDAY

MoSHPlay ends up at Dogs by 18 points, which is the lowest forecasted margin of any of the MoS Margin Predictors.

UPDATE 7:15PM THURSDAY

Here are MoSHPlay’s first thoughts on the nine games in Round 6, making some assumptions about the likely final 23s for each team. MoSHPlay is the extreme Margin Predictor in only one game.

2022 - Round 5 Results - No Regress

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With the exception of MoSHPlay_Marg on head-to-head tipping (the form of tipping where genuine talent is least likely to prevail), the MoS trio continue to rank highly on the Tipster Dashboard.

Best amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters was MoSSBODS_Marg’s eight from nine, which saw it join MoSHBODS_Marg in first place on the Leaderboard with 31 from 45 (69%), two tips clear of Bookie Knows Best and the RSMP twins. The all-Tipster average was 6.8 from 9, despite the fact that only 6 favourites won.

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2022 - Round 5 : MoSHPlay Update

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UPDATE MONDAY 2:30PM

MoSHPlay ends at Cats by 17 points.

UPDATE SUNDAY 4PM

It’s Essendon by 4 points, according to MoSHPlay.

UPDATE SUNDAY 1PM

MoSHPlay finishes at Blues by 11 points.

UPDATE SATURDAY 1PM

MoSHPlay moves to Saints by 24 points..


UPDATE FRIDAY 7PM

MoSHPlay finishes at Swans by 11 points.

UPDATE THURSDAY 7PM

It’s looking like a very restrained MoSHPlay week, with so far only a single most-extreme prediction, and that by just 3 points.

UPDATE WEDNESDAY 8:45PM

MoSHPlay is very much in keeping with the mainstream crowd in forecasting a Lions win by 28 points

2022 - Round 4 : MoSHPlay Update

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UPDATE 3:45PM SUNDAY

And it’s Carlton by 3 points to end the round for MoSHPlay.

UPDATE 2:45PM SUNDAY

MoSHPlay has switched to Hawks by 1 point..

UPDATE 12:30PM SUNDAY

MoSHPlay is now Essendon by only 9 points.

UPDATE 6:45PM SATURDAY

Just minor tweaks for the two upcoming games, which leaves MoSHPlay at Dogs by 17 and Dockers by 5.

UPDATE 4PM SATURDAY

Pies by 27 points. Final answer.

UPDATE 2PM SATURDAY

It’s the Swans by 39 points, according to MoSHPlay..

UPDATE 7PM FRIDAY

MoSHPlay is now, essentially, calling the Cats v Lions game a draw.

UPDATE 7:15PM THURSDAY

Nothing too outrageous from MoSHPlay in the round’s other games at this point, although it is siding with the majority, and against its siblings, in the Suns v Blues game.

UPDATE 7PM THURSDAY

MoSHPlay finishes at Melbourne by 18 points.

UPDATE 7PM WEDNESDAY

MoSHPlay’s opening bid on the Thursday game is Melbourne by 21 points.

2022 - Round 3 : MoSHPlay Update

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SUNDAY 5:45PM UPDATE

Eagles by 3 points, according to MoSHPlay

SATURDAY 7:30PM UPDATE

Lions by 38 points now, according to MoSHPlay.

SATURDAY 4PM UPDATE

It’s GWS by 15 points, according to MoSHPlay

FRIDAY 7:45PM UPDATE

Port Adelaide by 8 is MoSHPlay’s final bid.

FRIDAY 6:45PM UPDATE

MoSHPlay now at Dees by 26 points.

THURSDAY 7:15PM UPDATE

Nothing too outrageous from MoSHPlay at this point for the remaining games in the round, though it is the most-extreme Predictor in the Giants v Gold Coast, and Saints v Roos games.

THURSDAY 6:45PM UPDATE

MoSHPlay finishes at Dogs by 3 points.

WEDNESDAY 7PM UPDATE

It’s the Dogs by the tiniest margin, according to MoSHPlay