2021 - Round 15 Results - All's Well ...

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A relatively more difficult round to pick, in which only five of the nine favourites were successful, saw the all-Tipster head-to-head average come in at just 4.8, but with all but Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder scoring five from nine. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard with MoSSBODS_Marg remaining in 1st and now on 87.5 from 126 (69%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg and MoSHPlay_Marg on 86.5 (69%), one clear of RSMP_Weighted on 85.5 (68%).

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2021 - Round 15 : MoSHPlay Update

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UPDATE SUNDAY 2:30PM

MoSHPlay is sticking with its Dogs forecast for the win, but now by only 7 points.

UPDATE SUNDAY 12:30PM

MoSHPlay finishes at Giants by 8 points.

UPDATE SATURDAY 1PM

MoSHPlay has revised its estimate for the Pies v Dockers game and now has the Pies winning by 11 points.

UPDATE THURSDAY 7:15PM

Having now had a look at the likely teams for the remainder of the round, MoSHPlay is siding with the twins in every game, though is less confident about the Suns and Dogs upsets.

UPDATE THURSDAY 6:45PM

With the final teams in, Lions by only 2 now, according to MoSHPlay

UPDATE WEDNESDAY 7:30PM

Lions by 3, according to MoSHPlay

2021 - Round 14 Results - Bye Bye Bye

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A much better round for the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, with five of them tipping the card, and all but Home Sweet Home managing at least four from five. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard with MoSSBODS_Marg still in 1st and now on 82.5 from 117 (71%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg and MoSHPlay_Marg on 81.5 (70%), one clear of RSMP_Weighted and on 80.5 (69%).

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2021 - Round 13 Results - Well That Seemed Difficult

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Even the best of the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week managed to do no better than coin-tossing, and that with the freebie half-tip for the drawn game. At the end of it all, though, the three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard with MoSSBODS_Marg still in 1st and now on 78.5 from 112 (70%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg on 77.5 (69%), and MoSHPlay_Marg, now one clear of RSMP_Weighted and on 76.5 (68%).

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2021 - Round 13 : On Delay

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This week it’s taken until Tuesday for the last of the head-to-head and line markets to go up, so the bookmaker forecasts you see below are mostly from about 10:15am on Monday, but from 3pm Tuesday for the Port Adelaide v Geelong game.

Where we’ve ended up is that three games are expected to be decided by about a goal or less, one by about two-and-a-half goals, and the remaining three by three-and-a-half to five-and-a-half goals.

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2021 - Team Ratings After Round 12

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Only three teams changed order on MoSSBODS this week - West Coast up 2 into 12th, St Kilda up 1 into 14th, and Collingwood down 3 into 15th - while none at all moved on MoSHBODS.

That left the two Systems still with identical Top 8s and with the Dogs heading the Dees at the top, albeit now by reduced margins. The Dogs are now rated by MoSSBODS as about a 2 Scoring Shot better team than the Dees on a neutral venue, and by MoSHBODS as about a 6 point better team.

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2021 - Round 12 Results - Never Much Liked the Bye Rounds

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Quite variable results for the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, with Home Sweet Home bagging just two from six, and the RSMP twins and Consult The Ladder bagging five from six. The three MoS forecasters still sit atop the Leaderboard, however, with MoSSBODS_Marg still in 1st and now on 76 from 105 (72%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg on 75 (71%), and MoSHPlay_Marg, now joined by RSMP_Weighted on 74 (70.5%).

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2021 - Round 12 : No Scrums But Agile

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Regular readers will know that I usually lock in the bookmaker’s forecasts fairly early in the week, but there was so much uncertainty about the venues for Round 12 that I’ve been forced to lock them in progressively as venues (and, in one case, State and, in another, which is the home team) have been confirmed.

If COVID has taught me nothing else, it’s been the need to remain flexible to changing model inputs.

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