Matter of Stats
  • Welcome
  • Wagers & Tips Statistical Analyses Team Dashboards Simulations Probability and Statistics AFLW Team Rating History FMIPlay AFLM FMIPlay AFLW MoSHBODS Ratings
  • Scoring History Team Scoring Winning Rates Victory Margins Scoring Shots MoSHBODS Ratings Is It True That? Player Charts Scorigami Team vs Team Charts Prediction Errors MoSHBODS Team Ratings and Winning Time Between Scoring Events Score Progressions Interactive Charts Game Statistics Generate Synthetic Scores
  • Downloads
  • MoS Primer
  • Site News
  • Links & Archives
Matter of Stats
  • Welcome/
  • Blogs/
    • Wagers & Tips
    • Statistical Analyses
    • Team Dashboards
    • Simulations
    • Probability and Statistics
    • AFLW
    • Team Rating History
    • FMIPlay AFLM
    • FMIPlay AFLW
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
  • Data Visualisations And Charts/
    • Scoring History
    • Team Scoring
    • Winning Rates
    • Victory Margins
    • Scoring Shots
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
    • Is It True That?
    • Player Charts
    • Scorigami
    • Team vs Team Charts
    • Prediction Errors
    • MoSHBODS Team Ratings and Winning
    • Time Between Scoring Events
    • Score Progressions
    • Interactive Charts
    • Game Statistics
    • Generate Synthetic Scores
  • Downloads/
  • MoS Primer/
  • Site News/
  • Links & Archives/
Matter of Stats

Wagers & Tips

Matter of Stats
  • Welcome/
  • Blogs/
    • Wagers & Tips
    • Statistical Analyses
    • Team Dashboards
    • Simulations
    • Probability and Statistics
    • AFLW
    • Team Rating History
    • FMIPlay AFLM
    • FMIPlay AFLW
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
  • Data Visualisations And Charts/
    • Scoring History
    • Team Scoring
    • Winning Rates
    • Victory Margins
    • Scoring Shots
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
    • Is It True That?
    • Player Charts
    • Scorigami
    • Team vs Team Charts
    • Prediction Errors
    • MoSHBODS Team Ratings and Winning
    • Time Between Scoring Events
    • Score Progressions
    • Interactive Charts
    • Game Statistics
    • Generate Synthetic Scores
  • Downloads/
  • MoS Primer/
  • Site News/
  • Links & Archives/
August 08, 2020

2020 - Round 11 : And Again

August 08, 2020/ Tony Corke

If this end a round on one day and start the next on the following day becomes a thing in the future, I’m going to need to seriously reconsider running this blog …

So far, markets have only been framed for 7 of the 8 eight games, so those are the only 7 we’ll consider here. I’ll update in a separate blog, once the final markets are framed.

Read More
August 08, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 07, 2020

2020 - Round 10 Results - Let's Call It a Draw

August 07, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay_Marg bagged 6 from 9 this week, which was enough to see it remain atop the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard by two tips, now ahead of Bookie Knows Best, MoSSBODS_Marg, and RSMP_Simple (who tipped the card).

Read More
August 07, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 04, 2020

2020 - Round 10 : Overs/Unders Update

August 04, 2020/ Tony Corke

With all but one of the Totals markets now posted, MoSSBODS has no interest in any further wagers.

THURSDAY UPDATE

The Totals market for the final game of the round is now up and, while it looks very low according to the MoS twins. forecast rain means that we’ll not be taking the opportunity for an overs bet.

August 04, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment

Tony Corke

August 03, 2020

2020 - Round 10 : MoSHPlay Update

August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke

So, MoSHPlay is thinking Lions by 10.

Read More
August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 03, 2020

2020 - Round 10 : Overs/Unders

August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke

With markets posted for only two of the seven games so far, this will be a relatively brief blog entry, with updates to come.

Read More
August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 03, 2020

2020 - Round 10 : Surely I'm Getting Paid For This ...

August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke

Yes, it’s me, back again. I didn’t create this fixturing …

In this round’s business-days only fare, which ends on Friday, the bookmakers have six of the seven games finishing with a double-digit margin and only the Tigers v Lions game expected to be closer than that.

Read More
August 03, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 02, 2020

2020 - Team Ratings After Round 9

August 02, 2020/ Tony Corke

When Ratings are compressed, it doesn’t take much to see teams move multiple places, and this week saw MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS move eight teams by 2 spots or more.

That included their previous Number 1s, Collingwood, who now find themselves in 4th.

Port Adelaide returned to the top on both Systems, now ahead of Richmond and Brisbane Lions.

Read More
August 02, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 02, 2020

2020 - Round 9 Results - MoS Floats To The Top

August 02, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay_Marg bagged 7 from 9 this week to take it two tips clear of Bookie Knows Best and MoSSBODS_Marg on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard.

The all-Tipster average for the round was 5.9 from 9, dragged down again by Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder.

Read More
August 02, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 28, 2020

2020 - Round 9 : MoSHPlay Update

July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay, on seeing the team announcements, has forecast a Dogs’ win by 5 points.

Read More
July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 28, 2020

2020 - Round 9 : Overs/Unders

July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke

A little more divergence of opinion this week between the MoS twins and the bookmakers, with a number of games where the difference exceeds one goal.

Read More
July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 28, 2020

2020 - Round 9 : So Soon?

July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke

It feels like only yesterday …

Read More
July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 28, 2020

2020 - Team Ratings After Round 8

July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke

Collingwood, despite going down to West Coast, did enough in generating 15 Scoring Shots to the Eagles’ 21 to remain atop the rankings on both Systems, albeit by on 0.1 Scoring Shots on MoSSBODS, and 1.1 points on MoSHBODS.

The Pies are followed by the Lions and the Power on both Systems, in that order by MoSSBODS, and in the reverse order by MoSHBODS.

Read More
July 28, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 27, 2020

2020 - Round 8 Results -The Leads Narrow

July 27, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay_Marg bagged 6 from 9 this week, which was enough to see it grab top spot on the Head-to-Head Tipster’s Leaderboard by one tip ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg. That table is fairly compressed now, though, with just four tips separating 1st from 7th.

Read More
July 27, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 22, 2020

2020 - Round 8 : MoSHPlay Update

July 22, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay has it as the Dogs by just under two goals for tomorrow night’s game against the Suns.

Read More
July 22, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 22, 2020

2020 - Round 8 : Overs/Unders

July 22, 2020/ Tony Corke

Even higher levels of agreement this week between the MoS twins and the bookmakers sees only two games where the differences in opinion about likely game totals exceed one goal.

Read More
July 22, 2020/ Tony Corke/ 5 Comments
July 21, 2020

2020 - Round 8 : Another Rough One for Home Sweet Home?

July 21, 2020/ Tony Corke

Another set of nine games this week where the bookmakers expect the final winning margin to be three goals or smaller. In seven of those games they expect to be within two goals, which has resulted in an average expected margin of just 9.4 points per game.

Read More
July 21, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 21, 2020

2020 - Team Ratings After Round 7

July 21, 2020/ Tony Corke

After MoSSBODS switched 1st and 2nd this week, both MoS Systems now agree that the Top 3 teams are, in order, Collingwood, Port Adelaide, and Brisbane Lions.

Read More
July 21, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 20, 2020

2020 - Round 7 Results - MoSHPlay Rebounds Harder

July 20, 2020/ Tony Corke

Home Sweet Home, fresh off its first 9 from 9 in who-knows-how-long, recorded just 1 from 9 this week, plummeting it from 1st to 2nd-last on the all-Tipster ladder. Best were the 7 from 9’s of the MoS trio who, as a result, moved themselves into the top 3 spots on the Leaderboard, a couple of tips clear of their nearest rivals.

Read More
July 20, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 15, 2020

2020 - Round 7 : MoSHPlay Update

July 15, 2020/ Tony Corke

MoSHPlay has it as the Pies by 8 for tomorrow night’s game.

Read More
July 15, 2020/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
July 15, 2020

2020 - Round 7 : Overs/Unders

July 15, 2020/ Tony Corke

As was the case last weekend, there’s agreement in the broad but disagreement in the detail when you look at the MoS twins’ and the bookmakers’ score forecasts this week, with all four expecting an average score per game of around 123 points, but differences in specific games again as large as two goals.

Read More
July 15, 2020/ Tony Corke/ Comment
  • Previous
  • Next
  • Welcome/
  • Blogs/
    • Wagers & Tips
    • Statistical Analyses
    • Team Dashboards
    • Simulations
    • Probability and Statistics
    • AFLW
    • Team Rating History
    • FMIPlay AFLM
    • FMIPlay AFLW
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
  • Data Visualisations And Charts/
    • Scoring History
    • Team Scoring
    • Winning Rates
    • Victory Margins
    • Scoring Shots
    • MoSHBODS Ratings
    • Is It True That?
    • Player Charts
    • Scorigami
    • Team vs Team Charts
    • Prediction Errors
    • MoSHBODS Team Ratings and Winning
    • Time Between Scoring Events
    • Score Progressions
    • Interactive Charts
    • Game Statistics
    • Generate Synthetic Scores
  • Downloads/
  • MoS Primer/
  • Site News/
  • Links & Archives/

Matter of Stats

MAFL is a website for ...

MAKE A DONATION

If you enjoy the content here, please consider making a donation via PayPal by clicking on the red button below. Any amount is appreciated.

(For those not wanting to use PayPal, my email address below is now also a PayID)

*** DONATE NOW WHILE THERE'S STILL FRESH CONTENT TO JUSTIFY IT! ***

Contact Me

I can be contacted via Tony.Corke@gmail.com 

Subscribe to MoS VIA E-MAIL

Subscribe via Email  Click on the envelope


View fullsize R26 - Funds.png

SEARCH THE SITE

SEARCH BY CATEGORY

SEARCH BY TAG

SEARCH ARCHIVES

Free counters!

Copyright © 2006-2025, Tony Corke. All rights reserved.