MatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 6
/At six rounds into the season, it's a reasonable time to compare each team's ranking on Dashboard metrics to their competition ladder positions.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 5
/The latest Team Dashboard appears below. One striking feature of the details in the Dashboard is the contrasting fate of the Dockers and the Roos despite the generally better scoring statistics of the latter.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 4
/The latest Team Dashboard reveals, among other things, that:
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 3
/There's a pleasing symmetry to the competition ladder now, with three teams on three wins, six on two wins, six on one win, and three on zero wins.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 2
/It's still way too early to be performing any meaningful analysis of the data in the Team Dashboard, so I'll allow myself just a few parenthetic comments:
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 1
/For readers new to MoS, let me introduce the Team Dashboard. Updated at the end of every round, the Dashboard has three main sections.
MatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 23
/This week, as well as the full Team Dashboard, which appears at the end of this blog, I've included a short-form version of it that includes only the teams' actual and Expected Wwins (based on their Scoring Shot data and the MoS Win Production Function), their ranking on Expected Wins, and their ranking on the various metrics that appear within the Dashboard.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 22
/This week we'll take one last (or maybe second-to-last) look at team winning rates and how they compare with what MoS' Win Production Function would suggest they should be given each team's Scoring Shot statistics.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 21
/This week we'll focus on teams' Scoring Shot data and call out where their rankings on these metrics differ by at least three places from their ladder position.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 20
/Hawthorn, despite losing to Melbourne this week, remain at the top of the Competition Ladder, a position that remains at odds with the ranking its Scoring Shot data, when input into MoS' Win Production Function, would imply.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 19
/This week, time to review the correlation between team rankings on the various scoring metrics and their ordering on the competition ladder. We find that the Spearman rank correlation between ladder rankings and rankings on:
- Scoring Shots Generated per Game is +0.87
- Scoring Shots Conceded per Game is +0.85
- Own Scoring Shot Conversion Rate is +0.67
- Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion Rate is +0.41
- Quarter 1 performances is +0.79
- Quarter 2 performances is +0.77
- Quarter 3 performances is +0.85
- Quarter 4 performances is +0.89
- Expected Wins (using the MoS Win Production Function) is +0.94
Clearly then, Scoring Shot production and concession matters more than Scoring Shot Conversion, and later Quarters matter slightly more than earlier ones.
Lastly, let's look at how the number of games actually won by each team compares to what we'd expect they might have won given their scoring statistics interpreted through the Win Production Function:
Teams that have won more games than we'd expect:
- Hawthorn: +2.3 games
- St Kilda: +1.8 games
- Richmond: +1.6 games
- Gold Coast: +1.0 games
- Western Bulldogs: +1.0 games
Teams that have won fewer games than we'd expect:
- Port Adelaide: -2.4 games
- Fremantle: -2.2 games
- GWS: -1.6 games
- Melbourne: -1.4 games
- West Coast: -1.4 games
- Sydney: -1.1 games
MatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 17
/The latest Team Dashboard appears below.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 16
/This week, time to review the correlations between teams' ladder positions and their ranking on the various metrics from the Dashboard
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 15
/With every team now having played 14 games, let's look at the scoring metrics on which each team is ranked most differently compared to its competition ladder ranking.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 14
/Again this week I'll refrain from any lengthy commentary until such time as bye-season has ended and all teams have played the same number of games.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 13
/With six teams having now played fewer games than the other 12, I'll refrain from providing any lengthy commentary about the most-recent MoS Team Dashboard, which appears below.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 12
/Despite winning by over 100 points this week, the Hawks still have the smallest percentage of any of the teams in the Top 8, having conceded about 20 or 30 goals more than any team except Adelaide, and having scored about 20 goals fewer than them.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 11
/The latest Team Dashboard appears below.
Read MoreMatterOfStats 2016 : Team Dashboard for Round 10
/After the Roos dropped their first game of the season they find themselves having scored fewer points than seven teams below them on the ladder, and having conceded more points than the five teams filling positions 2nd through 6th.
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