SCORING SHOTS BY WINNING AND LOSING TEAMS

This visualisation shows the number of Scoring Shots (ie Goals + Behinds) registered by winning and losing teams in every game during a season, also with a single point for every game in that season and with a 2d kernel density plot overlaid. (Note that, in drawn games, the Home team is treated as being the winning team for the purpose of this chart.)

 

 

 

 

 

Here's the same data, cumulated across seasons in the same was as the Scoring data earlier. Again, those gaps ... 

 

 

 

 

 

EXCESS SCORING SHOTS REGISTERED BY WINNERS

This visualisation shows, as a density plot for each season, the difference between the number of Scoring.Shots registered by the winning team and the number registered by the losing team. Overlaid on the plots are lines at the mean and at the point where the excess Scoring Shot figure is 0 (ie the cutoff point, below which the winning team registered fewer Scoring Shots than the losing team) and where it is 15. Summary statistics are provided in the upper right corner. (Note that, in drawn games, the Home team is treated as being the winning team for the purpose of this chart.)

 

OWN AND OPPONENT SCORING SHOT PRODUCTION, AND OWN WINNING RATE IN PAST 50 GAMES

Now we look at the Scoring Shots - goals plus behinds - scored and conceded by teams in their previous 50 games, Home and Away or Finals, here for the period 2000 to 2016.

A team's winning rates over those same 50 games is encoded in the colour of its label. The strong relationship between generating scoring shots, not conceding them, and winning is apparent, as we tend to find teams whose labels are red in the bottom right corner, and teams whose labels are blue in the top left corner.

 

 

... and now we do it for the entire history of the sport at the time of posting (viz 1897 to 2016 Round 4).